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Library · hunts/cycle_moments/THIRD-MOMENT-OBSTRUCTION.md

A negative third discrepancy does not force a proportion gain

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Under the finite signed-vector hypotheses of FINITE-THEOREM.md, matched second and third moment limits alone cannot improve the second-moment counting proportion. This remains true when the third discrepancy is strictly negative. The obstruction uses two allowed nonreal pairs, including the optional orthogonality condition. It is an original finite construction; novelty has not been established.

More precisely, for every 1 < c_2 < 2 and every d > 0, there is a sequence of the allowed configurations for which

N -> infinity, M_2/N -> c_2, M_3/N -> 3c_2 - 2 - d, s/N -> 2 - c_2.

Thus the normalized third discrepancy tends to -d, while the limiting simple proportion equals the second-moment lower bound. This is a theorem about the finite hypotheses. It does not construct a zero configuration of zeta or rule out stronger estimates using additional information about its zeros.

1. The three-dimensional block

For b > 0, take an orthonormal basis e_1,e_2,e_3 and the two pairs

g_1 = sqrt(1+b/2) e_1, h_1 = sqrt(b/2) e_3, g_2 = sqrt(1+b/2) e_2, h_2 = sqrt(b/2) e_3.

Both multiplicities are one. For each pair, ||g_j||^2 - ||h_j||^2 = 1 and g_j is orthogonal to h_j. There are no simple or multiple real vectors in this block. Consequently

A_b = 2(g_1 tensor g_1 - h_1 tensor h_1)

N_b = 4, s_b = 0.

Its traces are

M_1 = 4, M_2 = 6b^2 + 8b + 8, M_3 = -6b^3 + 12b^2 + 24b + 16, M_4 = 18b^4 + 16b^3 + 48b^2 + 64b + 32.

In particular, its third discrepancy and its slack in quadratic counting are

Delta_3 = M_3 - 3M_2 + 2N_b = -6b^2(b+1) < 0, E_b = M_2 - 2N_b + s_b = 6b^2 + 8b > 0.

The discrepancy grows cubically while the slack grows quadratically. An exact comparison, valid already for b >= 0, is

-Delta_3 - (b/2) E_b = b^2(3b+2) >= 0.

A single orthogonal signed pair has zero third discrepancy at multiplicity one. The shared negative direction of these two pairs is what permits the negative cubic term.

2. A sequence attaining the quadratic limiting proportion

Fix c_2 and d as in the statement. For positive integers L, put

r_L = floor((c_2-1)L/2), s_L = L - 2r_L, b_L = (dL/6)^(1/3).

Here 0 <= 2r_L <= L, so the counts are admissible. On mutually orthogonal directions take s_L simple unit vectors and r_L multiple unit vectors, each of multiplicity two. This baseline has

N_0 = L, M_2,0 = L + 2r_L, Delta_3,0 = 0, M_2,0 - 2N_0 + s_L = 0.

Add the block A_(b_L) on three further orthogonal directions. The combined configuration has

N_L = L+4, M_2,L = L + 2r_L + 6b_L^2 + 8b_L + 8, Delta_3,L = -6b_L^3 - 6b_L^2 = -dL - 6b_L^2.

Since b_L has order L^(1/3), division by N_L gives

M_2,L/N_L -> c_2, Delta_3,L/N_L -> -d, s_L/N_L -> 2-c_2.

The third-moment limit in the headline follows from the defining identity for Delta_3. The normalized counting slack is exactly

(M_2,L - 2N_L + s_L)/N_L = (6b_L^2+8b_L)/(L+4) -> 0.

Meanwhile

M_4,L/N_L >= 18b_L^4/(L+4) -> infinity.

The finite fourth-moment condition in the quartic theorem therefore excludes precisely this kind of construction. It is a substantive hypothesis.

3. Consequence for the Montgomery-Taylor constants

Take c_2 = k+1/2, where k = cot(1/sqrt(2))/sqrt(2), and take

d = -(6k-5)(6k^2+6k-1)/24 > 0.

These constants satisfy the restrictions above by Section 8 of FINITE-THEOREM.md. The construction then matches both the second moment and the triangle third moment in that note, yet its limiting simple proportion is exactly 2-c_2.

Consequently no conclusion of the form liminf s/N >= 2-c_2+epsilon, with epsilon > 0, follows from those two limits and the finite signed-vector hypotheses alone. A truncated score cannot produce such a theorem either: the two moment limits are compatible with this exact counterexample. A mixed moment estimate can still provide additional information that this construction does not constrain.

4. Verification and formal scope

ThirdMomentObstruction.lean (ThirdMomentObstruction.lean) checks the square-root norm difference, all four eigenvalue power-sum identities, the discrepancy and slack formulas, their strict signs, and the cubic-versus-slack inequality. AXLE checked the full file with Lean 4.33.0 on 2026-09-05, with no failed declarations, errors, or warnings. Every printed declaration uses only propext, Classical.choice, and Quot.sound.

An independent symbolic matrix calculation also passed. To reproduce it from the repository root:

.venv/bin/python - <<'PY'
import sympy as sp
b = sp.symbols('b', positive=True)
a = sp.diag(b+2, b+2, -2*b)
m = [sp.expand(sp.trace(a**j)) for j in range(1, 5)]
assert m == [4, 6*b**2+8*b+8, -6*b**3+12*b**2+24*b+16,
             18*b**4+16*b**3+48*b**2+64*b+32]
assert sp.expand(m[2]-3*m[1]+8) == -6*b**3-6*b**2
assert sp.expand(-(m[2]-3*m[1]+8)-b*(m[1]-8)/2) == 3*b**3+2*b**2
print('Exact matrix trace checks passed.')
PY